コチ大学のAli Carkoglu教授をお迎えし、 “Cleavages that Undermine Democracy:
Lessons from Turkey’s Political Transformation” と題してワークショップを開催します。
どなたでもご参加いただけます。事前登録は不要です。ぜひご参加下さい。
We are very pleased to host Dr. Ali Carkoglu, a Professor at Koc University, for a special talk with the title ” Cleavages that Undermine Democracy: Lessons from Turkey’s Political Transformation “.
Pre-registration is not required. We look forward to your participation.
日時：2025年11月20日（木）10:40 – 12:20
Date and Time: Thursday, November 20, 2025, 10:40 – 12:20
場所：早稲田大学3号館12階ディスカッションルーム
Venue：Discussion Room, 12th floor, Building 3, Waseda Campus, Waseda University
言語Language：英語English
要旨Abstract：
This article examines how long-term shifts in voter alignments can contribute to democratic backsliding. Focusing on Turkey between 1990 and 2023, a period marked by significant political transformation, the study shows how electoral competition has increasingly centered around a deepening cultural divide. Using survey data from the World Values Survey and Turkish Election Studies, it finds that religiosity and ideological self-placement have become more powerful and polarized predictors of vote choice over time. This consolidation of a stable, identity-based cleavage has reinforced partisan loyalties and reduced electoral volatility, helping to insulate dominant parties from democratic accountability. The Turkish case illustrates a broader dynamic: as political conflict becomes organized around entrenched cultural divisions, democratic erosion can unfold not only through institutional collapse but also through the hardening of electoral alignments that limit meaningful political change.
Contact: 日野愛郎（早稲田大学） Airo Hino (Waseda University)
