【部会名】ゲーム理論・実験経済学研究部会(代表者:船木由喜彦先生)
【日時】6月2日(金)16:30-18:00
【会場】3号館10階 第一会議室
【発表者】渡邉 安虎氏(Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Associate Professor of Economics)
【Title】 Voter Turnout and Preference Aggregation
【Abstract】
We study how voter turnout affects the aggregation of voter preferences in elections. Under voluntary voting, election outcomes disproportionately aggregate the preferences of voters with low voting cost and high preference intensity. We show that the correlation structure among preferences, costs, and perceptions of voting efficacy is identified, and explore how the correlation affects preference aggregation. Using county-level data from 2004 U.S. Presidential election, we find that young, low-income, less-educated, and minority voters are underrepresented. All of these groups tend to prefer Democrats except for the less-educated. Democrats would have won the majority of the popular and the electoral votes if all eligible voters turned out.
【参加資格】学生・教職員・研究部会員・一般
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