{"id":96998,"date":"2020-12-14T09:00:00","date_gmt":"2020-12-14T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.waseda.jp\/top\/news\/96998"},"modified":"2024-06-14T18:12:41","modified_gmt":"2024-06-14T09:12:41","slug":"%e6%96%b0%e5%9e%8b%e3%82%b3%e3%83%ad%e3%83%8a%e3%82%a6%e3%82%a3%e3%83%ab%e3%82%b9%e6%84%9f%e6%9f%93%e7%97%87%e3%81%b8%e3%81%ae%e7%a4%be%e4%bc%9a%e7%9a%84%e6%b3%a8%e7%9b%ae%e3%81%ae%e5%bf%83%e7%90%86","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.waseda.jp\/top\/news\/96998","title":{"rendered":"\u65b0\u578b\u30b3\u30ed\u30ca\u30a6\u30a3\u30eb\u30b9\u611f\u67d3\u75c7\u3078\u306e\u793e\u4f1a\u7684\u6ce8\u76ee\u306e\u5fc3\u7406\u5b66"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"contentBox\">\n<div class=\"portraitUnit W110 floatright\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/top\/assets\/uploads\/adv\/wol\/images\/waseda1217_prof.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"110\" height=\"136\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u7af9\u6751 \u548c\u4e45\uff08\u305f\u3051\u3080\u3089 \u304b\u305a\u3072\u3055\uff09\uff0f\u65e9\u7a32\u7530\u5927\u5b66\u6587\u5b66\u5b66\u8853\u9662\u6559\u6388<span class=\"wol_profile_link\">\u7565\u6b74\u306f<a href=\"#p01\">\u3053\u3061\u3089<\/a>\u304b\u3089<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>\u3000\u3053\u306e\u539f\u7a3f\u3092\u66f8\u3044\u3066\u3044\u308b2020\u5e7410\u6708\u73fe\u5728\u3082\u65b0\u578b\u30b3\u30ed\u30ca\u30a6\u30a3\u30eb\u30b9\u611f\u67d3\u75c7\uff08COVID-19\uff09\u6d41\u884c\u304c\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u306a\u898f\u6a21\u3067\u8d77\u3053\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u308f\u304c\u56fd\u3067\u30822020\u5e74\u304b\u3089\u611f\u67d3\u304c\u62e1\u5927\u3057\u3001\u540c\u5e744\u6708\u306b\u306f\u653f\u5e9c\u306b\u3088\u308b\u7dca\u6025\u4e8b\u614b\u5ba3\u8a00\u304c\u51fa\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3001\u591a\u304f\u306e\u56fd\u6c11\u306f\u81ea\u7c9b\u751f\u6d3b\u3092\u9001\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306b\u306a\u308a\u3001\u4eca\u3082\u65e9\u7a32\u7530\u5927\u5b66\u3092\u306f\u3058\u3081\u591a\u304f\u306e\u5927\u5b66\u306f\u4e3b\u306b\u30aa\u30f3\u30e9\u30a4\u30f3\u306b\u3088\u308b\u6559\u80b2\u4f53\u5236\u306b\u306a\u3063\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u5bfe\u9762\u5f62\u5f0f\u306e\u6388\u696d\u306f\u4e00\u90e8\u3057\u304b\u518d\u958b\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u3002\u307e\u305f\u3001\u5e83\u304f\u793e\u4f1a\u3092\u898b\u6e21\u3059\u3068\u3001\u65b0\u578b\u30b3\u30ed\u30ca\u30a6\u30a3\u30eb\u30b9\u306e\u6d41\u884c\u3068\u3068\u3082\u306b\uff0c\u65b0\u578b\u30b3\u30ed\u30ca\u30a6\u30a3\u30eb\u30b9\u306e\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\uff08\u5371\u967a\u6027\uff09\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u30b3\u30df\u30e5\u30cb\u30b1\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u304c\u3001\u653f\u5e9c\u3084\u81ea\u6cbb\u4f53\u3084\u7a2e\u3005\u306e\u7d44\u7e54\u306b\u304a\u3044\u3066\u306a\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u672c\u7a3f\u3067\u306f\u3001\u4eba\u3005\u304c\u3069\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u3053\u306e\u611f\u67d3\u75c7\u306b\u6ce8\u76ee\u3057\u3066\u3044\u305f\u304b\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u3001\u3053\u308c\u307e\u3067\u306e\u6211\u3005\u306e\u7814\u7a76\u306a\u3069\u3092\u3082\u3068\u306b\u3057\u306a\u304c\u3089\u3001\u65b0\u578b\u30b3\u30ed\u30ca\u30a6\u30a3\u30eb\u30b9\u611f\u67d3\u75c7\u306e\u793e\u4f1a\u7684\u6ce8\u76ee\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u306e\u5fc3\u7406\u5b66\u7684\u8003\u5bdf\u3092\u884c\u3044\u3001\u4eca\u5f8c\u306e\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u30b3\u30df\u30e5\u30cb\u30b1\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u306e\u3042\u308a\u65b9\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u306e\u610f\u898b\u3092\u8ff0\u3079\u305f\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>\u611f\u67d3\u75c7\u3078\u306e\u793e\u4f1a\u7684\u6ce8\u76ee\u306e\u5fc3\u7406\u5b66\u3068\u8a8d\u77e5\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb<\/h3>\n<p>\u3000\u72af\u7f6a\u3001\u81ea\u6bba\u306a\u3069\u306e\u793e\u4f1a\u7684\u4e8b\u8c61\u3084\u666f\u6c17\u306a\u3069\u306e\u7d4c\u6e08\u4e8b\u8c61\u306e\u5909\u5316\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u306e\u5224\u65ad\u306f\u3001\u3057\u3070\u3057\u3070\u5b9f\u969b\u306e\u793e\u4f1a\u7684\u7d71\u8a08\u3068\u7570\u306a\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u6307\u6458\u3055\u308c\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u7a2e\u3005\u306e\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u4e8b\u8c61\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u3082\u5b9f\u969b\u306e\u7d71\u8a08\u3068\u7570\u306a\u308b\u5224\u65ad\u304c\u306a\u3055\u308c\u3084\u3059\u3044\u3053\u3068\u304c\u5831\u544a\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b[1]\u3002 \u4eca\u56de\u306e\u65b0\u578b\u30b3\u30ed\u30ca\u30a6\u30a3\u30eb\u30b9\u611f\u67d3\u75c7\u306e\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u8a8d\u77e5\u306b\u95a2\u3057\u3066\u3082\u540c\u69d8\u306e\u3053\u3068\u304c\u8a00\u3048\u308b\u3002\u8fd1\u5e74\u3067\u306f\u3001\u300eScience Advances\u300f\u3001\u300eScience\u300f\u306a\u3069\u306e\u79d1\u5b66\u5b66\u8853\u96d1\u8a8c\u306b\u3082\u3001\u65b0\u578b\u30b3\u30ed\u30ca\u306e\u5fc3\u7406\u53cd\u5fdc\u3084\u884c\u52d5\u53cd\u5fdc\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u306e\u7814\u7a76\u304c\u767a\u8868\u3055\u308c\u59cb\u3081\u3066\u3044\u308b[2,3]\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3000\u6211\u3005\u306e\u7814\u7a76\u3067\u3082\u3001\u65b0\u578b\u30b3\u30ed\u30ca\u30a6\u30a3\u30eb\u30b9\u611f\u67d3\u75c7\u306a\u3069\u306e\u793e\u4f1a\u7684\u4e8b\u8c61\u3078\u306e\u6ce8\u76ee\u304c\u3069\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u306a\u3055\u308c\u308b\u304b\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u306e\u4e00\u3064\u306e\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3092\u6307\u6458\u3059\u308b\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u3092\u63d0\u6848\u3057\u3066\u304d\u305f[4,5,6]\u3002\u57fa\u672c\u7684\u306a\u4eee\u8aac\u306f\u3001\u793e\u4f1a\u7684\u4e8b\u8c61\u3078\u306e\u6ce8\u76ee\u7387\u306f\u3001\u793e\u4f1a\u7684\u4e8b\u8c61\u306e\u7d71\u8a08\u91cf\u3060\u3051\u3067\u306a\u304f\u3001\u6642\u7a7a\u9593\u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u5909\u5316\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u6307\u6a19\uff08\u901f\u5ea6\u30fb\u52a0\u901f\u5ea6\u306a\u3069\uff09\u306b\u5fdc\u3058\u3066\u3082\u6c7a\u307e\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3000\u3064\u307e\u308a\u3001\u65b0\u578b\u30b3\u30ed\u30ca\u30a6\u30a3\u30eb\u30b9\u611f\u67d3\u75c7\u306a\u3069\u306e\u4e8b\u8c61\u3078\u306e\u6ce8\u76ee\u7387\u306f\uff0c\u523b\u3005\u3068\u5909\u5316\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3060\u3051\u3067\u306a\u304f\u3001\u3053\u308c\u307e\u3067\u306e\u5909\u5316\u306e\u5c65\u6b74\u306b\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u53d7\u3051\u308b\u3068\u8003\u3048\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u6642\u70b9 <em>t<\/em> \u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u4e8b\u8c61 <em>i<\/em> \u3078\u306e\u6ce8\u76ee\u7387 <em>P<sub>i<\/sub>(t) <\/em>\u306f\u3001\u4ee3\u66ff\u4e8b\u8c61 <em>j<\/em> \u3068\u306e\u6bd4\u8f03\u3067\u6c7a\u3081\u3089\u308c\u308b\u3002\u305f\u3060\u3057\u3001\u3042\u308b\u4e8b\u8c61\u3078\u306e\u5909\u5316\u691c\u51fa\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u306e\u5fc3\u7406\u7269\u7406\u91cf <em>U<\/em> \u306e\u5927\u5c0f\u95a2\u4fc2\u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u6c7a\u307e\u308b\u78ba\u7387\u5909\u6570\u3068\u306a\u308b\u3002\u307e\u305f\u3001\u3053\u306e\u5fc3\u7406\u7269\u7406\u91cf <em>U<\/em> \u306f\u3001\u793e\u4f1a\u7684\u4e8b\u8c61\u306e\u305d\u306e\u6642\u70b9\u3067\u306e\u91cf\u7684\u6307\u6a19\u3001\u901f\u5ea6\u3001\u52a0\u901f\u5ea6\u3068\u500b\u4eba\u306e\u50be\u5411\u3001\u3055\u3089\u306b\u3042\u308b\u78ba\u7387\u7684\u306b\u5909\u52d5\u3059\u308b\u8aa4\u5dee\u9805\u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u898f\u5b9a\u3055\u308c\u308b\u3068\u8003\u3048\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3000\u7c21\u5358\u306b\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306b2\u3064\u306e\u4e8b\u8c61\u306e\u8a8d\u77e5\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u3067\u8003\u3048\u308b\u3068\u3001<em>P<sub>i<\/sub>(t) = p(U<sub>i<\/sub>(t) &gt; U<sub>j<\/sub>(t)) <\/em>\u3068\u306a\u308b\u3002\u3053\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306a\u8a8d\u77e5\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306e\u6570\u7406\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u3092\u958b\u767a\u3057\u3001\u611f\u67d3\u75c7\u306e\u6570\u7406\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u3068\u306e\u5bfe\u5fdc\u3084\u4ed6\u306e\u5fc3\u7406\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u3068\u306e\u6bd4\u8f03\u3092\u8003\u3048\u3001\u6642\u9593\u7684\u8981\u56e0\u3084\u793e\u4f1a\u7684\u8981\u56e0\u3092\u53d6\u308a\u5165\u308c\u305f\u884c\u52d5\u5909\u5bb9\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u3092\u958b\u767a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3000\u3053\u3053\u3067\u3001\u3053\u306e\u8a8d\u77e5\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u3082\u3046\u5c11\u3057\u8a73\u3057\u304f\u8aac\u660e\u3059\u308b\u3002\u3042\u308b\u793e\u4f1a\u7684\u4e8b\u8c61 <em>i<\/em> \u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u3042\u308b\u6642\u70b9 <em>t<\/em> \u3067\u306e\u6ce8\u76ee\u7387\u3092 <em>P<sub>i<\/sub>(t) <\/em>\u3068\u3057\u3001<em>U<sub>i<\/sub>(t) <\/em>\u3092\u4e8b\u8c61 <em>i<\/em> \u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u306e\u30a4\u30f3\u30d1\u30af\u30c8\u306e\u5fc3\u7406\u7269\u7406\u91cf\u3001<em>U<sub>j<\/sub>(t) <\/em>\u3092\u4e8b\u8c61 <em>j<\/em> \u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u306e\u30a4\u30f3\u30d1\u30af\u30c8\u306e\u5fc3\u7406\u7269\u7406\u91cf\u3068\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3001<em>U<sub>i<\/sub>(t) <\/em>\u3068 <em>U<sub>j<\/sub>(t) <\/em>\u306e\u5f0f\u306f\u4ee5\u4e0b\u306e\u3068\u304a\u308a\u3068\u306a\u308b\u3002\u305d\u3057\u3066\u3001\u5fc3\u7406\u7269\u7406\u91cf\u306e\u5927\u5c0f\u6bd4\u8f03\u3067\u3001<em>U<sub>i<\/sub>(t) <\/em>\u304c <em>U<sub>j<\/sub>(t) <\/em>\u3092\u52dd\u308b\u78ba\u7387\u304c\u3001\u4e8b\u8c61 <em>i<\/em> \u3078\u306e\u6ce8\u76ee\u7387\u3068\u306a\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>U<sub>i<\/sub>(t) = \u03b1x<sub>i<\/sub>(t) + \u03b2v<sub>i<\/sub>(t) + \u03b3a<sub>i<\/sub>(t) + d<sub>i <\/sub>+ \u03f5<sub>i<\/sub><\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>U<sub>j<\/sub>(t) = \u03b1x<sub>j<\/sub>(t) + \u03b2v<sub>j<\/sub>(t) + \u03b3a<sub>j<\/sub>(t) + d<sub>j <\/sub>+ \u03f5<sub>j<\/sub><\/em><\/p>\n<p>\u203b<em>X<sub>i<\/sub>(t)<\/em> \u306f\u6642\u523b <em>t<\/em> \u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u4e8b\u8c61 <em>i<\/em> \u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u7269\u7406\u91cf\u3001<em>v<sub>i<\/sub>(t)<\/em> \u306f\u6642\u523b <em>t<\/em> \u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u4e8b\u8c61 <em>i<\/em> \u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u7269\u7406\u91cf\u306e\u5909\u5316\u901f\u5ea6\u3001<em>a<sub>i<\/sub>(t)<\/em> \u306f\u6642\u523b <em>t<\/em> \u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u4e8b\u8c61 <em>i<\/em> \u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u7269\u7406\u91cf\u306e\u5909\u5316\u52a0\u901f\u5ea6\u3092\u8868\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<br \/>\n\u203b<em>\u03b1\uff0c\u03b2\uff0c\u03b3<\/em> \u306f\u305d\u308c\u305e\u308c\u306e\u5909\u6570\u306e\u30d1\u30e9\u30e1\u30fc\u30bf\u3092\u8868\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<br \/>\n\u203b<em>d<sub>i<\/sub><\/em> \u306f\u500b\u4eba\u306e\u6301\u3064\u5224\u65ad\u50be\u5411\u3001<em>\u03b5<sub>i <\/sub><\/em>\u306f\u5224\u65ad\u306e\u8aa4\u5dee\u9805\u3092\u8868\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3000\u3053\u306e\u8a8d\u77e5\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306e\u8981\u70b9\u306f\u3001\u65b0\u578b\u30b3\u30ed\u30ca\u30a6\u30a3\u30eb\u30b9\u611f\u67d3\u75c7\u306a\u3069\u306e\u793e\u4f1a\u7684\u4e8b\u8c61\u306e\u6ce8\u76ee\u7387\u306f\u3001\u5ba2\u89b3\u7684\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306b\u4f9d\u5b58\u3059\u308b\u3060\u3051\u3067\u306a\u304f\u3001\u305d\u306e\u5c65\u6b74\u3084\u5909\u5316\u30d1\u30bf\u30fc\u30f3\u306b\u4f9d\u5b58\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u4f8b\u3048\u3070\u3001\u6025\u306b\u611f\u67d3\u8005\u304c\u5897\u52a0\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3001\u5b9f\u6570\u306f\u305d\u308c\u307b\u3069\u591a\u304f\u306a\u304f\u3066\u3082\u3001\u4eba\u3005\u306f\u793e\u4f1a\u7684\u6ce8\u76ee\u3092\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u4e88\u6e2c\u3067\u304d\u308b\u306e\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>\u65b0\u578b\u30b3\u30ed\u30ca\u30a6\u30a3\u30eb\u30b9\u611f\u67d3\u75c7\u3078\u306e\u793e\u4f1a\u7684\u6ce8\u76ee\u306e\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u5206\u6790\u304b\u3089\u8a00\u3048\u308b\u3053\u3068<\/h3>\n<p>\u3000\u4e0a\u8a18\u306e\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306b\u57fa\u3065\u3044\u3066\u3001\u6211\u3005\u306f\u3001\u65b0\u578b\u30b3\u30ed\u30ca\u30a6\u30a3\u30eb\u30b9\u611f\u67d3\u75c7\u3078\u306e\u793e\u4f1a\u7684\u6ce8\u76ee\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3092\u5206\u6790\u3057\u305f[6]\u3002\u65b0\u578b\u30b3\u30ed\u30ca\u30a6\u30a4\u30eb\u30b9\u306ePCR \u691c\u67fb\u967d\u6027\u8005\u6570(\u5358\u65e5)\u306f\u3001\u539a\u751f\u52b4\u50cd\u7701\u306b\u3066\u516c\u958b\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.mhlw.go.jp\/stf\/covid-19\/open-data.html\">https:\/\/www.mhlw.go.jp\/stf\/covid-19\/open-data.html<\/a>) \u3092\u7528\u3044\u305f\u3002\u516c\u958b\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u305f\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306e\u671f\u9593\u306f\u30012020\u5e741\u670816\u65e5\u304b\u30892020\u5e747\u670831\u65e5\u3067\u3042\u3063\u305f\u3002\u8a18\u4e8b\u6570\u306f\u3001\u671d\u65e5\u65b0\u805e\u8a18\u4e8b\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u30d9\u30fc\u30b9\u300c\u805e\u8535\u300d\u304b\u3089\u3001\u65e5\u3054\u3068\u306e\u8a18\u4e8b\u6570\u3092\u53d6\u5f97\u3057\u305f\u3002\u691c\u7d22\u65e5\u306f2020\u5e748\u67081\u65e5\u3067\u3001\u691c\u7d22\u30ad\u30fc\u30ef\u30fc\u30c9\u306f\u3044\u308d\u3044\u308d\u3068\u8a66\u307f\u305f\u7d50\u679c\u3001\u300c\u30b3\u30ed\u30ca\u300d\u3068\u3057\u3001\u691c\u7d22\u306e\u5bfe\u8c61\u671f\u9593\u306f2020\u5e741\u67089\u65e5\u304b\u30892020\u5e747\u670831\u65e5\u3068\u3057\u305f\u3002\u691c\u7d22\u91cf\u306f\u3001Google Trends (<a href=\"https:\/\/trends.google.com\/\">https:\/\/trends.google.com\/<\/a>) \u304b\u3089\u53d6\u5f97\u3057\u305f\u3002\u5206\u6790\u306e\u7d50\u679c\u3001\u5b9f\u969b\u306e\u691c\u7d22\u6570\u304c\u3001\u967d\u6027\u8005\u6570\u3084\u8a18\u4e8b\u6570\u305d\u3057\u3066\u305d\u308c\u3089\u306e\u901f\u5ea6\u30fb\u52a0\u901f\u5ea6\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u53d7\u3051\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3053\u3068\u304c\u793a\u3055\u308c\u305f\u3002\u307e\u305f\u3001\u5206\u6790\u7d50\u679c\u304b\u3089\u3001\u8a18\u4e8b\u6570\u3088\u308a\u3082\u3001\u5b9f\u969b\u306e\u967d\u6027\u8005\u6570\u304c\u691c\u7d22\u91cf\u306b\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u4e0e\u3048\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3053\u3068\u304c\u793a\u5506\u3055\u308c\u305f\u3002\u3053\u306e\u3053\u3068\u306f\u3001\u4eba\u3005\u304c\u967d\u6027\u8005\u6570\u3084\u305d\u306e\u5897\u6e1b\u306b\u6ce8\u76ee\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u793a\u5506\u3057\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u3053\u308c\u307e\u3067\u306e\u65b0\u578b\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30eb\u30a8\u30f3\u30b6\u3084\u305d\u306e\u4ed6\u306e\u793e\u4f1a\u7684\u4e8b\u8c61\u306e\u5206\u6790\u7d50\u679c[4,5]\u3068\u7570\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3000\u3053\u308c\u307e\u3067\u306e\u5831\u544a\u3055\u308c\u305f\u967d\u6027\u8005\u6570\u306e\u63a8\u79fb\u3068Google Trends\u306e\u6700\u8fd1\u307e\u3067\u306e\u7d50\u679c\u3092\u793a\u3057\u305f\u304c\uff08\u56f31\uff0c2\uff09\u3001\u590f\u4ee5\u964d\u306b\u3055\u3089\u306b\u967d\u6027\u8005\u6570\u304c\u5897\u52a0\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u5272\u306b\u306f\u3001\u691c\u7d22\u6570\u306f\u305d\u308c\u307b\u3069\u5897\u3048\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u3053\u3068\u304c\u308f\u304b\u308a\u3001\u3042\u308b\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3001\u4eba\u3005\u306e\u95a2\u5fc3\u304c\u5f31\u304f\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u793a\u5506\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"mt-image-center\" style=\"text-align: center; display: block; margin: 0 auto 20px;\" src=\"\/top\/assets\/uploads\/adv\/wol\/images\/waseda1217_a.jpg\" alt=\"waseda1217_a.jpg\" width=\"500\" height=\"274\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">\u56f3\uff11\u3000\u65b0\u578b\u30b3\u30ed\u30ca\u30a6\u30a3\u30eb\u30b9\u611f\u67d3\u8005\u6570\u306e\u63a8\u79fb\uff08\u65e5\u672c\u30c6\u30ec\u30d3\u304c\u539a\u52b4\u7701\u306e\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3092\u3082\u3068\u306b\u4f5c\u56f3\uff09<br \/>\n\uff08<a href=\"https:\/\/www.news24.jp\/archives\/corona_map\/index3.html\">https:\/\/www.news24.jp\/archives\/corona_map\/index3.html<\/a>\uff09<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"mt-image-center\" style=\"text-align: center; display: block; margin: 0 auto 20px;\" src=\"\/top\/assets\/uploads\/adv\/wol\/images\/waseda1217_b.jpg\" alt=\"waseda1217_b.jpg\" width=\"500\" height=\"252\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">\u56f3\uff12\u3000\u300c\u30b3\u30ed\u30ca\u300d\u306e\u691c\u7d22\u30d1\u30bf\u30fc\u30f3\u306e\u63a8\u79fb<br \/>\n\uff08<a href=\"https:\/\/trends.google.co.jp\/trends\/?geo=JP\">https:\/\/trends.google.co.jp\/trends\/?geo=JP<\/a>\u3088\u308a\u4f5c\u56f3\uff09<\/p>\n<p>\u3000\u3053\u308c\u3089\u306e\u5206\u6790\u3060\u3051\u3067\u306a\u304f\u3001\u6211\u3005\u306f\u3001\u611f\u67d3\u75c7\u306e\u8a8d\u77e5\u3068\u884c\u52d5\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u5224\u65ad\u5834\u9762\u3092\u5b9f\u9a13\u7684\u306b\u4f5c\u308a\u3001\u610f\u601d\u6c7a\u5b9a\u306e\u904e\u7a0b\u3092\u691c\u8a0e\u3059\u308b\u60c5\u5831\u30e2\u30cb\u30bf\u30ea\u30f3\u30b0\u6cd5\u3001\u773c\u7403\u904b\u52d5\u89e3\u6790\u3001\u9078\u629e\u5b9f\u9a13\u3092\u884c\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u304c\uff08\u56f33\uff09\u3001\u8a8d\u77e5\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306e\u901f\u5ea6\u9805\u3084\u52a0\u901f\u5ea6\u9805\u304c\u3001\u5224\u65ad\u7d50\u679c\u306b\u5f71\u97ff\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u793a\u5506\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<p><em><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"mt-image-center\" style=\"text-align: center; display: block; margin: 0 auto 20px;\" src=\"\/top\/assets\/uploads\/adv\/wol\/images\/waseda1217_c_3.jpg\" alt=\"waseda1217_c_3.jpg\" width=\"500\" height=\"296\" \/><\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">\u56f3\uff13\u3000\u8996\u7dda\u89e3\u6790\u306b\u3088\u308b\u8a8d\u77e5\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306e\u7814\u7a76\u306e\u30a4\u30e1\u30fc\u30b8<\/p>\n<h3>\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u30b3\u30df\u30e5\u30cb\u30b1\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u3078\u306e\u610f\u898b<\/h3>\n<p>\u3000\u6211\u3005\u306f\u3001\u65b0\u578b\u30b3\u30ed\u30ca\u30a6\u30a3\u30eb\u30b9\u611f\u67d3\u75c7\u3078\u306e\u6ce8\u76ee\u304c\u3069\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u306a\u3055\u308c\u308b\u304b\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u306e\u4e00\u3064\u306e\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3092\u6307\u6458\u3059\u308b\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u3092\u63d0\u6848\u3057\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u305d\u306e\u57fa\u672c\u7684\u306a\u4eee\u8aac\u306f\u3001\u793e\u4f1a\u7684\u4e8b\u8c61\u3078\u306e\u6ce8\u76ee\u7387\u306f\u3001\u793e\u4f1a\u7684\u4e8b\u8c61\u306e\u7d71\u8a08\u91cf\u3060\u3051\u3067\u306a\u304f\u3001\u6642\u7a7a\u9593\u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u5909\u5316\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u6307\u6a19\u306b\u5fdc\u3058\u3066\u3082\u6c7a\u307e\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u3053\u306e\u7814\u7a76\u306b\u306f\u307e\u3060\u5341\u5206\u691c\u8a0e\u3059\u3079\u304d\u70b9\u304c\u3042\u308a\u3001\u65b9\u6cd5\u8ad6\u7684\u306a\u9650\u754c\u304c\u3042\u308b\u304c\u3001\u5206\u6790\u7d50\u679c\u304b\u3089\u3001\u65b0\u578b\u30b3\u30ed\u30ca\u30a6\u30a3\u30eb\u30b9\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u306e\u60c5\u5831\u691c\u7d22\u304b\u3089\u4f3a\u3048\u308b\u4eba\u3005\u306e\u793e\u4f1a\u7684\u6ce8\u76ee\u306f\u3001\u60c5\u5831\u306e\u63d0\u793a\u306e\u3055\u308c\u65b9\u3084\u305d\u306e\u9806\u5e8f\u30d1\u30bf\u30fc\u30f3\u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u53d7\u3051\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u793a\u5506\u3055\u308c\u3001\u5ba2\u89b3\u7684\u306a\u6307\u6a19\u3060\u3051\u3067\u306a\u3044\u8981\u56e0\u306b\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u53d7\u3051\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u793a\u5506\u3055\u308c\u308b\u3002\u3053\u306e\u3053\u3068\u304b\u3089\u3001\u65b0\u578b\u30b3\u30ed\u30ca\u30a6\u30a3\u30eb\u30b9\u611f\u67d3\u75c7\u306e\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u30b3\u30df\u30e5\u30cb\u30b1\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u306b\u304a\u3044\u3066\u3082\u3053\u308c\u3089\u306e\u8981\u56e0\u3092\u5341\u5206\u306b\u8003\u3048\u308b\u5fc5\u8981\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3068\u8003\u3048\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3000\u653f\u5e9c\u3084\u30e1\u30c7\u30a3\u30a2\u306f\u3001\u65b0\u578b\u30b3\u30ed\u30ca\u30a6\u30a3\u30eb\u30b9\u611f\u67d3\u75c7\u306e\u967d\u6027\u8005\u6570\u3084\u6b7b\u4ea1\u8005\u6570\u306a\u3069\u3092\u514b\u660e\u306b\u5831\u9053\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u304c\u3001\u4e00\u65b9\u3067\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u6bd4\u8f03\u306e\u305f\u3081\u306e\u4ed6\u306e\u611f\u67d3\u75c7\u3084\u75be\u75c5\u3001\u4e8b\u6545\u306a\u3069\u3068\u306e\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u6bd4\u8f03\u306e\u60c5\u5831\u3092\u307b\u3068\u3093\u3069\u6d41\u3057\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u3002\u901a\u5e38\u306e\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u60c5\u5831\u306f\u3001\u4ed6\u306e\u75be\u75c5\u3001\u4e8b\u6545\u306a\u3069\u306e\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u3068\u306e\u6bd4\u8f03\u60c5\u5831\u3092\u5831\u9053\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u57fa\u672c\u3060\u304c\u3001\u4eca\u56de\u306f\u307b\u3068\u3093\u3069\u3053\u306e\u3053\u3068\u304c\u5b88\u3089\u308c\u3066\u304a\u3089\u305a\u3001\u3053\u306e\u3053\u3068\u304c\u3001\u4eba\u3005\u306e\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u8a8d\u77e5\u306b\u30d0\u30a4\u30a2\u30b9\u3092\u304b\u3051\u3001\u504f\u898b\u3084\u5dee\u5225\u306a\u3069\u3092\u52a9\u9577\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308b\u304b\u3082\u3057\u308c\u306a\u3044\u3002\u4eba\u3005\u306e\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u8a8d\u77e5\u3084\u610f\u601d\u6c7a\u5b9a\u306f\u3001\u5fc5\u305a\u3057\u3082\u5ba2\u89b3\u7684\u78ba\u7387\u3068\u306f\u5bfe\u5fdc\u3057\u306a\u3044\uff3b1, 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\/>\n<h6>\u53c2\u8003\u6587\u732e<\/h6>\n<p>[1] Slovic, Paul: Perception of risk. <em>Science<\/em>, Vol. 236, Issue 4799, pp. 280-285, 1987.<br \/>\ndoi: <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1126\/science.3563507\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1126\/science.3563507<\/a><br \/>\n[2] Holman,Alison, et al.: The unfolding COVID-19 pandemic: A probability-based, nationally representative study of mental health in the United States, <em>S<\/em><em>cience Advances<\/em> 14 Oct 2020: Vol. 6, no. 42, eabd5390<br \/>\ndoi: <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1126\/sciadv.abd5390\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1126\/sciadv.abd5390<\/a><br \/>\n[3] Metcalfl,Jessica, et al.: Mathematical models to guide pandemic response <em>Science <\/em> 24 Jul 2020,Vol. 369, Issue 6502, pp. 368-369<br \/>\ndoi: <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1126\/science.abd1668\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1126\/science.abd1668<\/a><br \/>\n[4] \u7af9\u6751\u548c\u4e45\u30fb\u7fbd\u9ce5\u525b\u53f2\u30fb\u85e4\u4e95\u8061\uff1a\u793e\u4f1a\u7684\u4e8b\u8c61\u306e\u5909\u5316\u691c\u51fa\u3068\u6ce8\u76ee\u7387\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u6570\u7406\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u3068\u8a08\u91cf\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u793e\u4f1a\u5fc3\u7406\u5b66\u4f1a\u7b2c50\u56de\u5927\u4f1a\u8ad6\u6587\u8b1b\u6f14\u96c6\uff0cpp.172-173\uff0c2009.<br \/>\n[5] \u7fbd\u9ce5\u525b\u53f2\u30fb\u7af9\u6751\u548c\u4e45\u30fb\u85e4\u4e95\u8061:\u3000\u793e\u4f1a\u7684\u4e8b\u8c61\u306e\u5909\u5316\u691c\u51fa\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u5b9f\u9a13\u3068\u8a08\u91cf\u5206\u6790\u3000\u65e5\u672c\u793e\u4f1a\u5fc3\u7406\u5b66\u4f1a\u7b2c51\u56de\u5927\u4f1a\u767a\u8868\u8ad6\u6587\u96c6\uff0cpp.126-127, 2010\uff0e<br \/>\n[6] \u7af9\u6751\u548c\u4e45\u30fb\u7389\u5229\u7950\u6a39\u30fb\u4e95\u51fa\u91ce\u5c1a\u3000\u65b0\u578b\u30b3\u30ed\u30ca\u30a6\u30a3\u30eb\u30b9\u611f\u67d3\u75c7\u306e\u793e\u4f1a\u7684\u6ce8\u76ee\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u5fc3\u7406\u7684\u8981\u56e0\u2015\u611f\u67d3\u8005\u6570\u306e\u52a0\u901f\u5ea6\u3068\u901f\u5ea6\u306e\u691c\u8a0e\u2015\uff0c\u7b2c11\u56de\u6a2a\u5e79\u9023\u5408\u30b3\u30f3\u30d5\u30a1\u30ec\u30f3\u30b9\u767a\u8868\u8ad6\u6587\u96c6\uff0c\u7d71\u8a08\u6570\u7406\u7814\u7a76\u6240, 2020.<br \/>\n[7] Takemura, Kazuhisa: Behavioral decision theory, In Oxford research encyclopedia of politics, Oxford: Oxford University Press,2020\uff0e<br \/>\ndoi: <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1093\/acrefore\/9780190228637.013.958\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1093\/acrefore\/9780190228637.013.958<\/a><br \/>\n[8] \u516c\u76ca\u793e\u56e3\u6cd5\u4eba\u571f\u6728\u5b66\u4f1a\u571f\u6728\u8a08\u753b\u5b66\u7814\u7a76\u59d4\u54e1\u4f1a\u300c\u65b0\u578b\u30b3\u30ed\u30ca\u30a6\u30a4\u30eb\u30b9\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u884c\u52d5\u30fb\u610f\u8b58\u8abf\u67fb\u300d\u306e\u5b9f\u65bd\u3068\u7d50\u679c\u5831\u544a\uff08\u901f\u5831\uff09\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\uff082020\u5e7410\u670822\u65e5\u66f4\u65b0\uff09,2020\uff0e<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/jsce-ip.org\/2020\/10\/22\/covid19-survey\/\">https:\/\/jsce-ip.org\/2020\/10\/22\/covid19-survey\/<\/a><\/p>\n<div id=\"p01\" class=\"profilebox clear\">\n<h4 class=\"F16\">\u7af9\u6751 \u548c\u4e45\uff08\u305f\u3051\u3080\u3089 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<\/u>Behavioral decision theory: Psychological and mathematical descriptions of human choice behavior, Tokyo:Springer, 2014.<br \/>\n\u7af9\u6751\u548c\u4e45\uff08\u7de8\u8457\uff09\u3000\u793e\u4f1a\u30fb\u96c6\u56e3\u30fb\u5bb6\u65cf\u5fc3\u7406\u5b66 (\u516c\u8a8d\u5fc3\u7406\u5e2b\u306e\u57fa\u790e\u3068\u5b9f\u8df5)\uff0c\u9060\u898b\u66f8\u623f\uff0c2018\uff0e<br \/>\n\u7af9\u6751\u548c\u4e45\u30fb\u85e4\u4e95\u8061\u3000\u610f\u601d\u6c7a\u5b9a\u306e\u51e6\u65b9\u3000\u671d\u5009\u66f8\u5e97\uff0c2015\uff0e<br \/>\n\u7af9\u6751\u548c\u4e45\u3000\u884c\u52d5\u610f\u601d\u6c7a\u5b9a\u8ad6\u2015\u7d4c\u6e08\u884c\u52d5\u306e\u5fc3\u7406\u5b66\u3000\u65e5\u672c\u8a55\u8ad6\u793e\uff0c2009\uff0e<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u7af9\u6751 \u548c\u4e45\uff08\u305f\u3051\u3080\u3089 \u304b\u305a\u3072\u3055\uff09\uff0f\u65e9\u7a32\u7530\u5927\u5b66\u6587\u5b66\u5b66\u8853\u9662\u6559\u6388\u7565\u6b74\u306f\u3053\u3061\u3089\u304b\u3089 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