{"id":5473,"date":"2019-06-21T10:33:00","date_gmt":"2019-06-21T01:33:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.waseda.jp\/inst\/sgu\/?p=5473"},"modified":"2019-07-04T10:53:56","modified_gmt":"2019-07-04T01:53:56","slug":"crop-it-%e3%83%af%e3%83%bc%e3%82%af%e3%82%b7%e3%83%a7%e3%83%83%e3%83%97%e3%80%8cgaining-credibility-alliances-and-u-s-overseas-deployment%e3%80%8d%ef%bc%887-1%ef%bc%89%e3%82%92%e9%96%8b%e5%82%ac","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.waseda.jp\/inst\/sgu\/news-through-2023\/2019\/06\/21\/5473\/","title":{"rendered":"CROP-IT \u30ef\u30fc\u30af\u30b7\u30e7\u30c3\u30d7\u300cGaining Credibility: Alliances and U.S. Overseas Deployment\u300d\uff087\/1\uff09\u3092\u958b\u50ac"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"wrap-outer\">\n<div class=\"wrap-inner\">\n<div class=\"post soft-double-bottom global-bg container-outer\">\n<div class=\"container\">\n<div class=\"row row-fluid equalize js-float-wrapper\">\n<div class=\"col-sm-9 eq bg-white\">\n<div class=\"bg-white soft-double post-body wp-text\">\n<p>2019\u5e74\uff17\u6708\uff11\u65e5\u3001<a class=\"addicn\" href=\"https:\/\/www.waseda.jp\/eape\/\">\u65e9\u7a32\u7530\u5927\u5b66\u30b9\u30fc\u30d1\u30fc\u30b0\u30ed\u30fc\u30d0\u30eb\u5927\u5b66\u5275\u6210\u652f\u63f4\u4e8b\u696d\u3000\u5b9f\u8a3c\u653f\u6cbb\u7d4c\u6e08\u5b66\u62e0\u70b9<\/a>\u306f\u65e9\u7a32\u7530\u5927\u5b66\u653f\u6cbb\u7d4c\u6e08\u5b66\u8853\u9662\u30fb\u591a\u6e56\u7814\u7a76\u5ba4\u3068\u3068\u3082\u306b\u300cCROP-IT \u30ef\u30fc\u30af\u30b7\u30e7\u30c3\u30d7\u300d\u3092\u958b\u50ac\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u203bCROP-IT\u3068\u306f\u3001<strong>C<\/strong>ollaborative <strong>R<\/strong>esearch <strong>O<\/strong>n <strong>P<\/strong>olitical <strong>I<\/strong>nformation <strong>T<\/strong>ransmission\uff08\u653f\u6cbb\u3068\u5916\u4ea4\u306e\u5bfe\u5916\u60c5\u5831\u767a\u4fe1\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u56fd\u969b\u5171\u540c\u7814\u7a76\uff09\u306e\u7565\u3067\u3001\u65e5\u672c\u5b66\u8853\u632f\u8208\u4f1a\u300e<a class=\"addicn\" href=\"https:\/\/www.jsps.go.jp\/kadai\/\">\u8ab2\u984c\u8a2d\u5b9a\u306b\u3088\u308b\u5148\u5c0e\u7684\u4eba\u6587\u5b66\u30fb\u793e\u4f1a\u79d1\u5b66\u7814\u7a76\u63a8\u9032\u4e8b\u696d<\/a>\u300f\u30b0\u30ed\u30fc\u30d0\u30eb\u5c55\u958b\u30d7\u30ed\u30b0\u30e9\u30e0\u306e\u4e00\u3064\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u30d5\u30e9\u30a4\u30e4\u30fc\u306f<a href=\"https:\/\/www.waseda.jp\/inst\/sgu\/assets\/uploads\/2019\/06\/Flyer_Erik-Gartzke.pdf\">\u3053\u3061\u3089<\/a><\/p>\n<h4>\u6982\u8981<\/h4>\n<p>\u3010\u65e5\u6642\u3011\uff17\u6708\uff11\u65e5\uff08\u6708\uff0914\uff1a45\uff5e16\uff1a15<\/p>\n<p>\u3010\u5834\u6240\u3011\u65e9\u7a32\u7530\u5927\u5b66\u30003\u53f7\u992810\u968e\u7b2c\u4e00\u4f1a\u8b70\u5ba4<\/p>\n<p>\u3010\u8a00\u8a9e\u3011 \u82f1\u8a9e<\/p>\n<p>\u3010\u5bfe\u8c61\u3011\u65e9\u7a32\u7530\u5927\u5b66\u5b66\u90e8\u751f\u3001\u5927\u5b66\u9662\u751f\u3001\u6559\u8077\u54e1\u3001\u4e00\u822c<\/p>\n<p>\u3010\u4e8b\u524d\u7533\u8fbc\u3011\u4e0d\u8981<\/p>\n<p>\u3010\u767a\u8868\u8005\u3011\u30ab\u30ea\u30d5\u30a9\u30eb\u30cb\u30a2\u5927\u5b66\u30b5\u30f3\u30c7\u30a3\u30a8\u30b4\u6821\u3000<a href=\"http:\/\/erikgartzke.com\/\">\u30a8\u30ea\u30c3\u30af\u3000\u30ac\u30fc \u30c4\u30ad\u30fc\u6559\u6388<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u3010\u30bf\u30a4\u30c8\u30eb\u3011Gaining Credibility: Alliances and U.S. Overseas Deployments<strong><em><br \/>\n<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<h4>\u3010\u8981\u65e8\u3011<\/h4>\n<p>A substantial portion of U.S. military forces are stationed abroad, on allied territory. This effort is costly and appears redundant if alliances perform a similar role more cheaply. Deployments of this type are also typically too small to adequately defend an ally. What then do they achieve? We refine existing insights in the literature, presenting a formal model in which deployments signal U.S. resolve. We then provide the first systematic evidence for extended deterrence success through costly signaling. By holding alliance status constant, we are able to assess different attributes of deployments. Time-series analysis of the U.S.-Japan security treaty further isolates deployment from endogeneity or reverse causation. As predicted by the model, the proportion of military expenditures tied to U.S. deployments in Japan accounts for extended general deterrence outcomes much better than the total number of troops stationed in the country. Our findings further suggest that the United States can continue to deter in a period of relative decline, as long as withdrawals of overseas troops are smaller than the relative decline of the U.S. economy.<\/p>\n<p>\u3010\u554f\u5408\u305b\u3011 \u653f\u6cbb\u7d4c\u6e08\u5b66\u8853\u9662\u3000\u591a\u6e56\u6df3\u7814\u7a76\u5ba4\u3000<a class=\"addicn\" href=\"mailto:tago@waseda.jp\">tago@waseda.jp<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u3010\u5f8c\u63f4\u3011\u65e9\u7a32\u7530\u5927\u5b66\u30b9\u30fc\u30d1\u30fc\u30b0\u30ed\u30fc\u30d0\u30eb\u5927\u5b66\u5275\u6210\u652f\u63f4\u4e8b\u696d\u5b9f\u8a3c\u653f\u6cbb\u7d4c\u6e08\u5b66\u62e0\u70b9<\/p>\n<p>\u73fe\u4ee3\u653f\u6cbb\u7d4c\u6e08\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u30fb\u653f\u6cbb\u5b9f\u9a13\u7814\u7a76\u90e8\u4f1a<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>2019\u5e74\uff17\u6708\uff11\u65e5\u3001\u65e9\u7a32\u7530\u5927\u5b66\u30b9\u30fc\u30d1\u30fc\u30b0\u30ed\u30fc\u30d0\u30eb\u5927\u5b66\u5275\u6210\u652f\u63f4\u4e8b\u696d\u3000\u5b9f\u8a3c\u653f\u6cbb\u7d4c\u6e08\u5b66\u62e0\u70b9\u306f\u65e9\u7a32\u7530\u5927\u5b66\u653f\u6cbb\u7d4c\u6e08\u5b66\u8853\u9662\u30fb\u591a\u6e56\u7814\u7a76\u5ba4\u3068\u3068\u3082\u306b\u300cCROP-IT \u30ef\u30fc\u30af\u30b7\u30e7\u30c3\u30d7\u300d\u3092\u958b\u50ac\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002 \u203bCROP-IT\u3068\u306f\u3001Collabo [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":5582,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[53,98],"class_list":["post-5473","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-through-2023","tag-events","tag-eape"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.waseda.jp\/inst\/sgu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5473","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.waseda.jp\/inst\/sgu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.waseda.jp\/inst\/sgu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.waseda.jp\/inst\/sgu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.waseda.jp\/inst\/sgu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5473"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.waseda.jp\/inst\/sgu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5473\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5585,"href":"https:\/\/www.waseda.jp\/inst\/sgu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5473\/revisions\/5585"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.waseda.jp\/inst\/sgu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/5582"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.waseda.jp\/inst\/sgu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5473"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.waseda.jp\/inst\/sgu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5473"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.waseda.jp\/inst\/sgu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5473"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}