11\u670813\u65e5\uff08\u706b\uff09 10:40\uff5e12:10\/November 13, Tuesday\u00a0 10:40\uff5e12:10<\/p>\n
\u65e9\u7a32\u7530\u5927\u5b66\u65e9\u7a32\u7530\u30ad\u30e3\u30f3\u30d1\u30b93\u53f7\u992810\u968e\u7b2c\u4e00\u4f1a\u8b70\u5ba4<\/p>\n
Building 3, Conference Room#1 on 10th floor<\/p>\n
Speaker<\/p>\n
Name:\u00a0\u00a0 Nicholas Sim<\/p>\n
Qualification:\u00a0 Senior lecturer, School of Business, Singapore University of Social Sciences<\/p>\n
abstract:<\/p>\n
It is argued that landlocked countries are usually less developed due to landlockedness being a significant barrier to trade. Empirically, however, there is little\u00a0evidence on how large the causal effect of landlockedness is, as exogenous variations in landlockedness useful for addressing this question are rare. In this\u00a0paper,\u00a0we exploit a novel natural experiment when Ethiopia\u2019s became a\u00a0de facto\u00a0landlocked country following a conflict with Eritrea in 1998. Because\u00a0landlockedness\u00a0primarily affects land and sea freight than air freight, this \u201cclosing in\u201d of Ethiopia\u00a0should affect the trade of bulky, low-valued goods more\u00a0strongly than the trade\u00a0of light, high-valued goods. To estimate the effect of landlockedness, we employ\u00a0two approaches: the triple difference-in-differences\u00a0approach and the synthetic control approach. The triple difference-in-differences approach enables us to use a\u00a0span of fixed effects to identify the \u201ctreatment\u201d\u00a0effect of landlockedness on trade.\u00a0The synthetic control approach provides us with a data-driven method to obtain a\u00a0control group that mirrors Ethiopia\u2019s pre-intervention trend as closely as possible.\u00a0Our empirical results reveal that landlockedness has a large negative impact on\u00a0Ethiopia\u2019s exports and imports: on\u00a0average, being landlocked reduces Ethiopia\u2019s\u00a0ocean-borne exports and imports by about 43-80% and 67-71%, respectively. We\u00a0also find that the landlockedness\u00a0shock has a persistent effect on trade, suggesting\u00a0that the negative influence of landlockedness is not easily overcome.<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
organizer: Prof. Marisa KELLAM<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
11\u670813\u65e5\uff08\u706b\uff09 10:40\uff5e12:10\/November 13, Tuesday\u00a0 10:40\uff5e12:10 \u65e9\u7a32\u7530\u5927\u5b66\u65e9\u7a32\u7530\u30ad\u30e3\u30f3\u30d1\u30b93\u53f7\u992810\u968e\u7b2c\u4e00\u4f1a\u8b70\u5ba4 Building 3, Conference Room#1 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[103,104,105,1],"tags":[99,18],"class_list":["post-5956","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news-en","category-other-en","category-other","category-news","tag-events-en","tag-events"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.waseda.jp\/fpse\/winpec\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5956","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.waseda.jp\/fpse\/winpec\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.waseda.jp\/fpse\/winpec\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.waseda.jp\/fpse\/winpec\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.waseda.jp\/fpse\/winpec\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5956"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.waseda.jp\/fpse\/winpec\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5956\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.waseda.jp\/fpse\/winpec\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5956"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.waseda.jp\/fpse\/winpec\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5956"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.waseda.jp\/fpse\/winpec\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5956"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}