{"id":11937,"date":"2026-07-06T09:10:35","date_gmt":"2026-07-06T00:10:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.waseda.jp\/fpse\/winpec\/?p=11937"},"modified":"2026-07-06T09:10:35","modified_gmt":"2026-07-06T00:10:35","slug":"%e3%80%907%e6%9c%8810%e3%83%bb11%e6%97%a5%e9%96%8b%e5%82%ac%e3%80%91eu%e3%83%95%e3%83%ac%e3%83%b3%e3%83%89%e3%82%b7%e3%83%83%e3%83%97%e3%82%a6%e3%82%a3%e3%83%bc%e3%82%af%e3%83%bb%e3%83%af%e3%83%bc-6-7","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.waseda.jp\/fpse\/winpec\/news\/2026\/07\/06\/11937\/","title":{"rendered":"\u3010\u958b\u50ac\u5831\u544a\u3011\u30b0\u30ed\u30fc\u30d0\u30eb\u7d4c\u6e08\u53f2\u7814\u7a76\u90e8\u4f1a\uff086\u670830\u65e5\uff09\/ Global Economic History Seminar on June 30th"},"content":{"rendered":"<h6>\u8b1b\u6f14\u8005<\/h6>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\"><strong>\u6c0f\u540d\uff1a<\/strong><span class=\"TextRun SCXW172172528 BCX8\" lang=\"JA-JP\" xml:lang=\"JA-JP\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW172172528 BCX8\">\u5c71\u5cb8\u6566<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\"><strong>\u6240\u5c5e\uff1a<\/strong><span class=\"TextRun SCXW104147080 BCX8\" lang=\"JA-JP\" xml:lang=\"JA-JP\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW104147080 BCX8\">\u4e00\u6a4b\u5927\u5b66<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u8cc7\u683c\uff1a<\/strong>\u51c6\u6559\u6388<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u7d4c\u6b74\uff1a<\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ayamagishi.com\/\">\u3053\u3061\u3089\u304b\u3089\u3054\u78ba\u8a8d\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044<\/a><\/p>\n<h6>\u958b\u50ac\u6982\u8981<\/h6>\n<p><strong>\u958b\u50ac\u65e5\u6642\uff1a<\/strong>\u30002026\u5e746\u670830\u65e5\uff08\u706b\uff0915\u664205\u5206\uff0d16\u664245\u5206<br \/>\n<strong>\u958b\u50ac\u65b9\u6cd5\uff1a<\/strong>\u3000<span class=\"TextRun SCXW32855106 BCX8\" lang=\"JA-JP\" xml:lang=\"JA-JP\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW32855106 BCX8\">\u65e9\u7a32\u7530\u5927\u5b66\u65e9\u7a32\u7530\u30ad\u30e3\u30f3\u30d1\u30b9<\/span><\/span><span class=\"TextRun SCXW32855106 BCX8\" lang=\"EN-US\" xml:lang=\"EN-US\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW32855106 BCX8\">3<\/span><\/span><span class=\"TextRun SCXW32855106 BCX8\" lang=\"JA-JP\" xml:lang=\"JA-JP\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW32855106 BCX8\">\u53f7\u9928<\/span><\/span><span class=\"TextRun SCXW32855106 BCX8\" lang=\"EN-US\" xml:lang=\"EN-US\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW32855106 BCX8\">4<\/span><\/span><span class=\"TextRun SCXW32855106 BCX8\" lang=\"JA-JP\" xml:lang=\"JA-JP\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW32855106 BCX8\">\u968e<\/span><\/span><span class=\"TextRun SCXW32855106 BCX8\" lang=\"EN-US\" xml:lang=\"EN-US\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW32855106 BCX8\">401<\/span><\/span><span class=\"TextRun SCXW32855106 BCX8\" lang=\"JA-JP\" xml:lang=\"JA-JP\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW32855106 BCX8\">\u6559\u5ba4\u304a\u3088\u3073\u30aa\u30f3\u30e9\u30a4\u30f3\uff08<\/span><\/span><span class=\"TextRun SCXW32855106 BCX8\" lang=\"EN-US\" xml:lang=\"EN-US\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW32855106 BCX8\">Zoom<\/span><\/span><span class=\"TextRun SCXW32855106 BCX8\" lang=\"JA-JP\" xml:lang=\"JA-JP\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW32855106 BCX8\">\uff09<\/span><\/span><span class=\"EOP SCXW32855106 BCX8\" data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134245417&quot;:false,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559731&quot;:440,&quot;335559797&quot;:200}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h6>\u8b1b\u6f14\u5831\u544a<\/h6>\n<p><strong>\u8b1b\u6f14\u30bf\u30a4\u30c8\u30eb\uff1a<span class=\"TextRun SCXW70275507 BCX8\" lang=\"EN-US\" xml:lang=\"EN-US\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW70275507 BCX8\">Martyrs, Morale, and Militarism: The Political Impact of Devastation and Slaughter<\/span><\/span><span class=\"EOP SCXW70275507 BCX8\" data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134245417&quot;:false,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u8b1b\u6f14\u6982\u8981\uff1a<\/strong><br \/>\n<span class=\"TextRun SCXW91777278 BCX8\" lang=\"EN-US\" xml:lang=\"EN-US\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW91777278 BCX8\">Opinion is sharply divided about whether the bombing of an enemy&#8217;s civilian targets and the killing of their combatants result in an adversary&#8217;s population becoming pacifist or pro-military<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW91777278 BCX8\">.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW91777278 BCX8\">Identification is difficult because natural experiments are rare, and effects may be heterogeneous. For example, killing enemy combatants may create martyrs, while targeting civilians may lower their pro-war morale. We solve this problem by\u00a0<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW91777278 BCX8\">leveraging<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW91777278 BCX8\">\u00a0a natural experiment in Japan in which military casualties and urban destruction varied exogenously, but differentially, across cities. We then estimate the impact of devastation and slaughter on support for Japan&#8217;s Liberal Democratic Party, which aims to revise Japan&#8217;s constitution to enable it to rearm. We find contrasting effects of targeting soldiers and\u00a0<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun ContextualSpellingAndGrammarErrorV2Themed SCXW91777278 BCX8\">civilians&#8212;<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW91777278 BCX8\">military deaths induce future pro-military voting, while urban destruction induces pacifist voting. Moreover, these effects persist long after most people with direct experience of the war have died.<\/span><\/span><span class=\"EOP SCXW91777278 BCX8\" data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134245417&quot;:false,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u8b1b\u6f14\u8005 \u6c0f\u540d\uff1a\u5c71\u5cb8\u6566 \u6240\u5c5e\uff1a\u4e00\u6a4b\u5927\u5b66 \u8cc7\u683c\uff1a\u51c6\u6559\u6388 \u7d4c\u6b74\uff1a\u3053\u3061\u3089\u304b\u3089\u3054\u78ba\u8a8d\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044 \u958b\u50ac\u6982\u8981 \u958b\u50ac\u65e5\u6642\uff1a\u30002026\u5e746\u670830\u65e5\uff08\u706b\uff0915\u664205\u5206\uff0d16\u664245\u5206 \u958b\u50ac\u65b9\u6cd5\uff1a\u3000\u65e9\u7a32\u7530\u5927\u5b66\u65e9\u7a32\u7530\u30ad\u30e3\u30f3\u30d1\u30b93\u53f7\u99284\u968e401\u6559\u5ba4\u304a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":10208,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[103,1],"tags":[99,102,18,101],"class_list":["post-11937","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-en","category-news","tag-events-en","tag-general-en","tag-events","tag-general"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.waseda.jp\/fpse\/winpec\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11937","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.waseda.jp\/fpse\/winpec\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.waseda.jp\/fpse\/winpec\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.waseda.jp\/fpse\/winpec\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.waseda.jp\/fpse\/winpec\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11937"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.waseda.jp\/fpse\/winpec\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11937\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":11939,"href":"https:\/\/www.waseda.jp\/fpse\/winpec\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11937\/revisions\/11939"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.waseda.jp\/fpse\/winpec\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/10208"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.waseda.jp\/fpse\/winpec\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11937"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.waseda.jp\/fpse\/winpec\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11937"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.waseda.jp\/fpse\/winpec\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11937"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}