{"id":10679,"date":"2025-10-09T13:40:55","date_gmt":"2025-10-09T04:40:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.waseda.jp\/fpse\/winpec\/?p=10679"},"modified":"2025-10-09T13:56:48","modified_gmt":"2025-10-09T04:56:48","slug":"%ef%bc%91%ef%bc%92%e6%9c%88%ef%bc%92%ef%bc%90%e6%97%a5%e7%8f%be%e6%94%bf%e7%a0%94%e3%82%bb%e3%83%9f%e3%83%8a%e3%83%bc%ef%bc%88%e5%a0%80%e4%ba%95%e4%ba%ae%e5%85%88%e7%94%9f%ef%bc%89%e3%81%ae-12-2-2-99","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.waseda.jp\/fpse\/winpec\/news\/2025\/10\/09\/10679\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5b9f\u8a3c\u653f\u6cbb\u5b66\u30ef\u30fc\u30af\u30b7\u30e7\u30c3\u30d7\u306e\u3054\u6848\u5185\uff08Workshop Announcement: November 6th, 13:10-\uff09"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u30cb\u30e5\u30fc\u30ab\u30c3\u30b9\u30eb\u5927\u5b66\u306e<a href=\"https:\/\/www.kmchan.page\/\">Chan Ka Ming<\/a>\u8b1b\u5e2b\u3092\u304a\u8fce\u3048\u3057\u3001 \u201cTrump 2.0\u2019s effect: Do citizens update the US democracy rating in its first month?\u201d \u3068\u984c\u3057\u3066\u30ef\u30fc\u30af\u30b7\u30e7\u30c3\u30d7\u3092\u958b\u50ac\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3069\u306a\u305f\u3067\u3082\u3054\u53c2\u52a0\u3044\u305f\u3060\u3051\u307e\u3059\u3002\u4e8b\u524d\u767b\u9332\u306f\u4e0d\u8981\u3067\u3059\u3002\u305c\u3072\u3054\u53c2\u52a0\u4e0b\u3055\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n<p>We are very pleased to host Dr. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.kmchan.page\/\">Chan Ka Ming<\/a>, a Lecturer (Assistant Professor) at Newcastle University, for a special talk with the title &#8221; Trump 2.0\u2019s effect: Do citizens update the US democracy rating in its first month?&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p>Pre-registration is not required. We look forward to your participation.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u65e5\u6642\uff1a2025\u5e7411\u67086\u65e5\uff08\u6728\uff0913:10 \u2013 14:50<\/p>\n<p>Date and Time: Thursday, November 6th, 2025, 13:10 \u2013 14:50<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u5834\u6240\uff1a\u65e9\u7a32\u7530\u5927\u5b663\u53f7\u9928 606\u6559\u5ba4 Venue\uff1a Room 606, <a href=\"https:\/\/waseda.app.box.com\/s\/ze4e02hrcnumhrqt0yikp036w12tcuy8\">Building 3,<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/waseda.app.box.com\/s\/ze4e02hrcnumhrqt0yikp036w12tcuy8\">Waseda Campus<\/a>, Waseda University<\/p>\n<p>\u8a00\u8a9eLanguage\uff1a\u82f1\u8a9eEnglish<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.dropbox.com\/scl\/fi\/9di1e4rfir8gcbv1ynjs3\/abstract_trump2.0.pdf?rlkey=qm2nkbh2w8q3zc71nbosyio4n&amp;e=1&amp;dl=0\">\u8981\u65e8Abstract\uff1a<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Since Trump\u2019s second presidency (Trump 2.0), the US has undergone substantive autocratization. Yet, little is known about whether citizens update this change in US democratic quality. I argue there are three perspectives to understand this updating process: (1) partisan motivated reasoning, (2) conceptions of democracy, and (3) citizens\u2019 political interest and knowledge. To test for this change, I use the American National Election Studies (ANES) survey that was collected amid Trump\u2019s ascendance to power. Using unexpected event during survey design, I find a precise drop in US democracy rating in Trump 2.0\u2019s first 30 days, but the magnitude is small. I also compare this decrease with the estimates provided by various LLMs. Next, I examine which subgroup is more prone to update: the findings suggest this drop is mainly driven by Democrats and citizens with a liberal conception of democracy. I discuss how these findings contribute to the autocratization literature.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Contact: \u5c0f\u6797\u54f2\u90ce\uff08\u65e9\u7a32\u7530\u5927\u5b66\uff09 Tetsuro Kobayashi (Waseda University)<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u30cb\u30e5\u30fc\u30ab\u30c3\u30b9\u30eb\u5927\u5b66\u306eChan Ka Ming\u8b1b\u5e2b\u3092\u304a\u8fce\u3048\u3057\u3001 \u201cTrump 2.0\u2019s effect: Do citizens update the US democracy rating in its first mo [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":10680,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[103,104,105,1],"tags":[18],"class_list":["post-10679","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-en","category-other-en","category-other","category-news","tag-events"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.waseda.jp\/fpse\/winpec\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10679","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.waseda.jp\/fpse\/winpec\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.waseda.jp\/fpse\/winpec\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.waseda.jp\/fpse\/winpec\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.waseda.jp\/fpse\/winpec\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10679"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.waseda.jp\/fpse\/winpec\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10679\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10684,"href":"https:\/\/www.waseda.jp\/fpse\/winpec\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10679\/revisions\/10684"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.waseda.jp\/fpse\/winpec\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/10680"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.waseda.jp\/fpse\/winpec\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10679"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.waseda.jp\/fpse\/winpec\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10679"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.waseda.jp\/fpse\/winpec\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10679"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}