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·ï̾ LS Noemi Navarro»á
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¡ÚÊó¹ð¼Ô¡ÛNoemi Navarro »á(Universit½æP de Sherbrooke, Canada)
¡Ú¥¿¥¤¥È¥ë¡ÛOptimal Fragile Financial Networks
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We study a financial network characterized by the presence of
depositors, banks and their shareholders. Belonging to a financial
network is beneficial for both the depositors and banks' shareholders
since the return to investment increases with the number of banks
connected. However, the network is fragile since banks, which invest
on behalf of the depositors, can gamble with depositors' money (making
an investment that is dominated in expected terms) when not
sufficiently capitalized. The bankruptcy of a bank negatively affects
the banks connected to it the network. First, we compute the social
planner solution and the efficient financial network is characterized
by a core-periphery structure. Second, we analyze the decentralized
solution showing under which conditions participating in a fragile
financial network is ex-ante optimal. In particular, we show that this
is optimal when the probability of bankruptcy is sufficiently low
giving rationale of financial fragility as a rare phenomenon. Finally,
we analyze the efficiency of the decentralized financial network.
Again, if the probability of bankruptcy is sufficiently low the
structure of the decentralized financial network is equal to the
efficient one, yielding an expected payoff arbitrarily close to the
efficient one. However, the investment decision is not the same. That
is, in the decentralized network some banks will gamble as compared to
the socially preferred outcome.

https://sites.google.com/site/navarroprada/research2

*The talk will be given in English.
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